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Is the lockdown working for India in its fight against #Covid19

India has followed a strict policy of containment and lockdown and this might be the reason why our cases are at 7,000 vs 820,000 with no containment. Interesting statistics from the government

Well yesterday on a rare occasion when I met one of my neighbors, we had a small discussion on the lockdown. My neighbor was of the opinion that the lockdown was hurting India more than Covid19 itself. He went on to say that daily wage laborer which is most of the rural and unorganized sectors were given no warning and now will drop into extreme poverty.

His arguments jarred me at that instant. As a doctor, I had taken an oath to save lives and this is not an ideal discussion, saving lives is a priority and economics of survival is slightly outside the scope of the Hippocratic Oath.

As we near the 21 days of lockdown, the government of India has released the statistics of the lock down. According to the reports the numbers, we seem to be doing well because of the lockdown.

“If India had not implemented either containment or nationwide #lockdown – case growth by 41%, 8.2 lakh #COVID2019 cases by Apr 15″

– statistical analysis by the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India

The government figures give 3 scenarios

  1. No containment or lockdown- 820,000 cases of Covid19
  2. Containment but no lockdown- 120,000 Cases of Covid19
  3. The current number of cases -7,447
(Ministry of Health and Family Welfare Government of India)

Clearly it is evident that according to the government the Lockdown and Containment have worked. But a lot has to be seen how we ride out of this storm.

I always believe that India like Abhimanyu from Maharashtra, Knows how to get into the Chakravyuh, now the question is unlike Abhimanyu who failed to find his way out and meet his doom, would India navigate successfully out of this Covid19 Chakravyuh?

Only time shall tell…..

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